The 49ers never had a chance vs. Green Bay — for lots of reasons
It was like that all night for Nick Mullens in the game with Green Bay. Surrounded by defenders in a hurry, he had to try to do something with nothing, which rarely works. (Kent Porter / The Press Democrat) 2020 One of the charming qualities of sport is magical thinking. It is the idea that […]

It was like that all night for Nick Mullens in the game with Green Bay. Surrounded by defenders in a hurry, he had to try to do something with nothing, which rarely works. (Kent Porter / The Press Democrat) 2020

One of the charming qualities of sport is magical thinking. It is the idea that a team with courage, guts and courage can defeat a more talented team out of sheer will and will.

You take your best shot and the next thing you know the American hockey team beat Russia in the Miracle on Ice at the 1980 Olympics.

Unfortunately, there is a reason why we call these miracles. It doesn't happen very often.

Was there ever a point in Thursday night's 34-17 loss to the Packers where you thought the 49ers had a chance? Aaron Rodgers and his company hurtled down the field in the first practice with fanfare precision to take a 7-0 lead. They never looked back.

As analyst Troy 'Aikman said at one point, "This Green Bay offense is kind of doing whatever they want right now."

It was both ugly and disheartening, and raises real questions about where Kyle Shanahan's group will go in the second half of the season. We have to look at this.

But first, an editorial comment. This game should never have been played. It should have been postponed, as was Cal's football game, when it was clear the risk of COVID-19 was too high.

You have to love the hypocrisy of the NFL. On the one hand, they announce that they are launching an "investigation" into the 49ers' pandemic procedures. They want to know what Kendrick Bourne was doing to cause a positive viral test, which meant three other players, all starters, couldn't get dressed. They take it seriously, damn it

Still, the league moved forward with an unrelated game here over a short week, when the Packers and 49ers tested positive for COVID. By the way, whatever the league does to tackle the spread of the pandemic, it's not working. CBS Sports reports that 40% of NFL teams had at least one positive test last week. And Green Bay had another positive test after the game.

The 49ers have never had a chance. With an injury list longer than a voting line in Georgia, they were already at a disadvantage. But with all four starters sitting with COVID, San Francisco has essentially had a one-game suspension of four starters.

And, with three days to prepare, the team had to shut down the training facility for a day and try to fit into practice virtually.

So the 49ers had to field a substitute squad - the beaten reporters calculated only four offensive starts were available - they had to prepare in a short week in which a full day of practice was essentially eliminated.

At the very least, the game should have been moved to Sunday to get a feel for the outbreak for both teams. In a final and infuriating development, Bourne has now tested negative, so he and the other three players could have played in a game over the weekend.

But that would have meant eating all that Thursday night money, so the game continued. And the 49ers were roughed up.

What does this mean for the rest of the year? The good news is, they're not as bad as they looked Thursday night. If the Packers have shown anything, it's that the NFL is a league of stars who make a difference. Rodgers and his receiver Davante Adams were spectacular. Players like Bourne, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams, the COVID Four, are all making a difference and should be back.

But the trends are not great. Nick Mullens is reaching the 'bless her heart' stage of his hearing. He's out there trying it out, but when you see him trying to throw a wild throw while getting run over by a Packer, you can't help thinking we've seen this movie before - even before the balloon floats in the arms of a defender.

So no, it doesn't sound like the answer. And we've already looked at Backup from Backup, CJ Beathard. He reminded us that he stood there without fear, that he was getting badly beaten and that he was not doing much.

A sign of the confused state of QB's position, it was reported on Friday that the 49ers had recruited Josh Johnson, 34, who is the very definition of a journeyman quarterback. To quote his Wikipedia page, Johnson played for: Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 49ers, Sacramento Mountain Lions, Cleveland Browns, Cincinnati Bengals, New York Jets, Indianapolis Colts, Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, New York Giants, Houston Texans, Oakland Raiders , Washington, Detroit Lions and Los Angeles Wildcats. I can't say he hasn't had his chance.

That's when someone is bound to say they're wondering where the 49ers would be if they signed Tom Brady?

My guess? In the same place, as Brady would likely be injured by now, like Jimmy Garoppolo, after getting hit too many times.

Mullens took the now familiar weekly sack for the 49er quarterbacks against Green Bay. It would be the indiscriminate explosion of a full-tilt on-board rusher that nearly took his head off. He searched. Who wouldn't?

Finding a way to rebuild the offensive line, especially in the middle, would make things a lot better. This means not only protecting the quarterback, but also running the ball.

And again, the defense must remove the other team's attack from the field. The Packers converted six of 12 third bets and won one-on-fourth with daring veteran play.

Needing only a yardstick, Rodgers threw what looked like a mistake at Adams. But the ball was exactly where it needed to be - outside and far from the defender - and Adams made a sensational catch on the first down.

Great players make great games. Average gamers, even diligent and serious gamers, make average games.


This is a beginners guide to betting, written by a beginner ! You might not know this about me, but whilst Ian is a football betting expert with a long history of placing bets, I am not ! I know the web and how to make things on it, but I don’t know a lot about .

I do love this site though, so I wanted to learn more about betting so that I can better contribute to the conversations on it. I have been researching things for some time and thought I would write them up as a guide to betting.

You might wonder why I didn’t ask Ian to write this guide, him being the spécialiste, the truth is I thought it would be better coming from someone picking up the ropes. Ian knows so much he might assume you know something you don’t, I don’t know anything so that can’t happen !

These are the two most common way to place bets these days so I wanted to cover them in a little detail. We don’t hide that fact that Ian prefers singles but that doesn’t help you if you don’t know the main differences.

When you bet with an accumulator, all your bets need to win in order for you to be able to claim the money. This makes it much harder to win but évidemment the reward is far greater. As a new bettor it is very tempting to bet on accumulators because you could see your £10 stake spiral into big bucks pretty quick.

Beginners Guide to Football BettingThis is a beginners guide to football betting, written by a beginner ! You might not know this about me, but whilst Ian is a football betting spécialiste with a long history of placing bets, I am not ! I know the web and how to make things on it, but I don’t know a lot about . I do love this site though, so I wanted to learn more about betting so that I can better contribute to the conversations on it. I have been researching things for some time and thought I would write them up as a guide to football betting. You might wonder why I didn’t ask Ian to write this guide, him being the expert, the truth is I thought it would be better coming from someone picking up the ropes. Ian knows so much he might assume you know something you don’t, I don’t know anything so that can’t happen ! Something that you might benefit from is our free tipster mail course. It is a free mail course that takes 7 days to complete and by the end of it you should be a bit of an expert ! Some Football Betting TermsI figured I would start off with some football betting terms. Stake – This is the amount of money you place on a bet, in other words the amount of money you stand to lose if you don’t win. Accumulator – A football accumulator is a series of single bets grouped together, if each of the bets comes off then the odds accumulate together. Normally when you hear of people putting a fiver on something and winning a couple of thousand it is because of accumulators. Because each bet needs to win though they can be risky. Handicap – This is a bet that is offered when one team is the clear favourite – Think Brazil vs your local old boys team ! The handicap gives a small advantage to the underdog. For example, there may be a one goal head start given to the underdog. I am going to explain Handicapping more later in this article. Half Time/Full Time – This type of bet is split into two, when you predict the winner of the first half then of the entire game. So you could predict a draw at half time but for the home team to win by full time. Banker – This is basically the closet thing to a certainty as you can get, the tipster is very sure that the bet will land if they consider it a banker. For example we give banker tips to our members. Scorecast – This is when you bet on a player to score the first goal along with predicting the satisfaisant score. Wincast – Very similar to a scorecast but you bet on a player to score and then predict the winner of the game. Minute Betting – This is mentioned a lot when people bet on individual players ( maybe as goal scorers ) normally if the player doesn’t make an appearance the bet is called off, but if the player appears during the normal 90 minutes of the game they are eligible for the bet. 24 Hour Rule – Most betting websites have a rule like this where if a match is postponed the bet only becomes void if the match doesn’t get played within a 24 hour period. So for example if a match was just put back 2 hours the bet would still stand. Over/Under – Overs and Unders are when you bet on the amount of goals being scored, normally it will be over or under an amount, for example over 2. 5 means if there are 3 or more goals. Under 2. 5 would be 0, 1, or 2 goals being scored. DNB – This stands for Draw No Bet. What this means is if the score is a draw you get your money back for your bet. This can be seen as a safer option but you should understand that the odds are usually lower when this is selected. Double Chance – A Double Chance bet is one where you pick a winner and if they win OR it is a draw, you win the bet. If the team you pick loses then you lose the bet. Like DNB the odds are generally lower but it is a safer bet as a result. Bankroll – how much money you have to bet with. We’ve written more about what the bankroll is. HandicapsHandicaps are something that confused the heck out of me for the longest time, so I want to spend a while looking at them in detail. This is such a common question that I have written up a guide to the Asian and European handicapping. Want to learn how to be an expert football bettor for free ? JOIN OUR EMAIL COURSEAccumulators Vs SinglesThese are the two most common way to place bets these days so I wanted to cover them in a little detail. We don’t hide that fact that Ian prefers singles but that doesn’t help you if you don’t know the main differences. When you bet with an accumulator, all your bets need to win in order for you to be able to claim the money. This makes it much harder to win but bien sûr the reward is far greater. As a new bettor it is very tempting to bet on accumulators because you could see your £10 stake spiral into big bucks pretty quick. Singles on the other hand are not effected by other bets. So if I place £10 on three different matches as singles and 2 of them come in, then I make money on those two bets. The odds aren’t as good if I was to role up all my bets into an accumulator, but the odds of me walking away with some money are much higher.

The main advice here is to find what it right for you. Just because some people swear by accumulators and others swear by singles doesn’t mean you should listen to the loudest voice. Do some research, maybe put some small stakes on a few different ways and see what felt good and what had a good return on your investment.

Beginners Guide to Football BettingThis is a beginners guide to betting, written by a beginner ! You might not know this about me, but whilst Ian is a betting professionnel with a long history of placing football bets, I am not ! I know the web and how to make things on it, but I don’t know a lot about . I do love this site though, so I wanted to learn more about betting so that I can better contribute to the conversations on it. I have been researching things for some time and thought I would write them up as a guide to football betting. You might wonder why I didn’t ask Ian to write this guide, him being the professionnel, the truth is I thought it would be better coming from someone picking up the ropes. Ian knows so much he might assume you know something you don’t, I don’t know anything so that can’t happen ! Something that you might benefit from is our free tipster courier course. It is a free fax course that takes 7 days to complete and by the end of it you should be a bit of an spécialiste ! Some Football Betting TermsI figured I would start off with some football betting terms. Stake – This is the amount of money you place on a bet, in other words the amount of money you stand to lose if you don’t win. Accumulator – A accumulator is a series of solo bets grouped together, if each of the bets comes off then the odds accumulate together. Normally when you hear of people putting a fiver on something and winning a couple of thousand it is because of accumulators. Because each bet needs to win though they can be risky. Handicap – This is a bet that is offered when one team is the clear favourite – Think Brazil vs your local old boys team ! The handicap gives a small advantage to the underdog. For example, there may be a one goal head start given to the underdog. I am going to explain Handicapping more later in this article. Half Time/Full Time – This type of bet is split into two, when you predict the winner of the first half then of the entire game. So you could predict a draw at half time but for the home team to win by full time. Banker – This is basically the closet thing to a certainty as you can get, the tipster is very sure that the bet will land if they consider it a banker. For example we give banker tips to our members. Scorecast – This is when you bet on a player to score the first goal along with predicting the correct score. Wincast – Very similar to a scorecast but you bet on a player to score and then predict the winner of the game. 90 Minute Betting – This is mentioned a lot when people bet on individual players ( maybe as goal scorers ) normally if the player doesn’t make an appearance the bet is called off, but if the player appears during the normal 90 minutes of the game they are eligible for the bet. 24 Hour Rule – Most betting websites have a rule like this where if a match is postponed the bet only becomes void if the match doesn’t get played within a 24 hour period. So for example if a match was just put back 2 hours the bet would still stand. Over/Under – Overs and Unders are when you bet on the amount of goals being scored, normally it will be over or under an amount, for example over 2. 5 means if there are 3 or more goals. Under 2. 5 would be 0, 1, or 2 goals being scored. DNB – This stands for Draw No Bet. What this means is if the score is a draw you get your money back for your bet. This can be seen as a safer option but you should understand that the odds are usually lower when this is selected. Double Chance – A Double Chance bet is one where you pick a winner and if they win OR it is a draw, you win the bet. If the team you pick loses then you lose the bet. Like DNB the odds are generally lower but it is a safer bet as a result. Bankroll – how much money you have to bet with. We’ve written more about what the bankroll is. HandicapsHandicaps are something that confused the heck out of me for the longest time, so I want to spend a while looking at them in detail. This is such a common question that I have written up a guide to the Asian and European handicapping. Want to learn how to be an expert bettor for free ? JOIN OUR EMAIL COURSEAccumulators Vs SinglesThese are the two most common way to place bets these days so I wanted to cover them in a little detail. We don’t hide that fact that Ian prefers singles but that doesn’t help you if you don’t know the main differences. When you bet with an accumulator, all your bets need to win in order for you to be able to claim the money. This makes it much harder to win but évidemment the reward is far greater. As a new bettor it is very tempting to bet on accumulators because you could see your £10 stake spiral into big bucks pretty quick. Singles on the other hand are not effected by other bets. So if I place £10 on three different matches as singles and 2 of them come in, then I make money on those two bets. The odds aren’t as good if I was to role up all my bets into an accumulator, but the odds of me walking away with some money are much higher. The main advice here is to find what it right for you. Just because some people swear by accumulators and others swear by singles doesn’t mean you should listen to the loudest voice. Do some research, maybe put some small stakes on a few different ways and see what felt good and what had a good return on your investment. Getting your way with the bookiesSomething you will encounter when you start betting is a range of different online and offline bookmakers. All will have their own way of dealing with things and all will want you to work with them differently. This can seem daunting but we’ve written up a guide on what to look out for and how to state your case if you think a bookmaker has wronged you.

There are two things I have caught myself doing related to being greedy, the first is adding extra teams into an accumulator just because it will bump up my maximum payout. This is almost always a dramatiques idea ! The second thing I have done is bet more money on a team than I initially was going to. You should have a plan for how much you are going to bet and stick to it.

You are not going to win every bet, if you want to become successful at betting on football you need to be patient and pick the right bets for you. Never bet more than you can afford to loseBefore I place a bet I always think about the money I am going to be placing on it and think, if I were to lose this money right now would I be OK with that. If the answer is no I won’t place the bet.

They are too unpredictable, you don’t know how much effort the respective teams are putting in and reserve players may get an outing that you weren’t counting on. If the friendlies are before the start of a new season ( they often are ) players will be very aware to not pick up any injuries so might not play as hard as they normally do.

What I mean by this is that two teams can look a certain way on paper, but if one of those teams has already won the league and the other is fighting to stay in the league there is a very good chance that the team good on paper will be on auto pilot whilst the team playing to stay out of relegation is going to be fighting for their life !

If ever there was a post to comment on with your questions this would be it ! The only stupid question is the one not asked. We’re also really keen on hearing where we can improve this article, so if you still have questions or something wasn’t clear, it was because we’ve done a bad emploi and we would love you to tell us how to do better. If you’re hungry for more, I can highly recommend our free courier course.

Unfortunately a lot of money is wasted because people place bets without really knowing too much about what they are doing. If you know someone like that please feel free to share this with them. The social media share links are below if you’d like to share on Facebook etc.

SHOP NOW

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *