49ers in the playoffs? Seriously?
Kyle Shanahan and his 49ers are looking for teams ahead of them in the standings. Do they really have a chance to do the following season? (AP Photo / Rick Scuteri) It keeps popping up. You watch the 49ers game on TV and at one point the playoff possibilities are displayed on the screen. It […]

Kyle Shanahan and his 49ers are looking for teams ahead of them in the standings. Do they really have a chance to do the following season? (AP Photo / Rick Scuteri)

It keeps popping up. You watch the 49ers game on TV and at one point the playoff possibilities are displayed on the screen. It lists infallible contenders and a short list of “on the bubble” teams to make the playoffs.

And on the list, week after week, are the unlucky, most injured, losers of the 49ers in a row. Do they really have a chance of making the playoffs?

Yes.

And probably not.

It is true that there is a mathematical chance that the team can do it the following season. There's a whole complicated set of dominoes that need to fall in exactly the right order - even then it's a long way off. But here is the pitch of the hope for a miracle.

First, consider the NFC East. Holy shit, what a trash fire. Not only do they not have a team with a winning record, they don't even have a .500 one. None of the four teams in the East has more than three wins. If it was football they would all be relegated.

Why do we care? Because he's removing four teams from the NFC to 16 teams. We're now at 12. And four of those teams - Caroline, Atlanta, Detroit and Minnesota - have the same 4-6 record as the 49ers or worse.

The Niners are only two games away from the Rams and Cardinals in the West Division. With six games to go and a head-to-head with LA and Arizona, you could quickly catch up in the West.

Additionally, the NFL is still considering putting eight teams into the playoffs, instead of the current seven. The league would drop to eight if the coronavirus forces the cancellation of so many games that a full season cannot be played. So if that happens it would be another chance for the 49ers to make it the next season.

In addition, after the week off, there is a good chance of bringing several injured players back to the field. They could include Richard Sherman, Raheem Mostert, Tevin Coleman, Deebo Samuel and center Ben Garland. There's even a chance Jimmy Garoppolo will return for some of the final games.

For all of these reasons, and the fact that the team seem to stay relatively cohesive during adversity, you could argue that, with a few lucky breaks, the 49ers have a possible move to the next season.

And no. I still can't see it.

For starters, the 49ers have already lost to the Cardinals in Game 1 of the season. Arizona therefore has the tiebreaker from the start, awaiting the outcome of their second game of the season on December 27.

San Francisco beat the Rams in their opener, making this week's game in Los Angeles a must win. Sadly, we all agreed that last week's game with the Saints was a must win, and they didn't. The need to win these games or none of the scenarios makes sense.

Realistically, they have to run the table in the remaining six games. That would make them 10-6, which is a reasonable record to make the playoffs end. The problem is, the timeline doesn't look promising.

The Rams are 6-3 (pending tonight's game in Tampa), next opponent Buffalo is 7-3. Washington and Dallas are 3-7 cupcakes, but remember, the Niners can't lose a game. And then they finish with 6-4 Arizona and 7-3 Seattle.

It's a lot of hard work. And frankly, the 49ers aren't very trendy right now.

As pointed out last week, the three straight losses followed a pattern. The teams arrive after the 49ers' passer and the offensive line, especially the revolving door in the center, were unable to protect the quarterbacks. Pro Football Reference has 49ers quarterbacks absorbing 49 hits so far this year, the most in the NFL.

It's not conducive to efficient passing, and it shows with 11 interceptions between Garoppolo and Nick Mullens. It may also help explain why the 49ers' quarterbacks tended to start well and go down later in games. All these blows are expensive.

Garland's return would be of great help to the center. Beat reporters remind us that the team used six different crosses in ten games. Complications arose. We've seen too many times the O-line failed to even get their hands on a blitzer.

This is something that needs to be fixed. If nothing else, you should be thinking that Kyle Shanahan is hoping to get a non-gimpy Garoppolo back at the end of the season. Surely he's seen enough of Mullens and CJ Beathard. These latter games could be Jimmy G's audition for the next two years of his contract.

But he can't do it if the passing throwers come along with the ball. The team needs to clean up the pass pro and see what Jimmy can do.

It probably won't be for the playoffs, but at least they can say they're looking to build on something for next season. In fact, I think it's their best plan.


This is a beginners guide to football betting, written by a beginner ! You might not know this about me, but whilst Ian is a football betting spécialiste with a long history of placing football bets, I am not ! I know the web and how to make things on it, but I don’t know a lot about .

I do love this site though, so I wanted to learn more about football betting so that I can better contribute to the conversations on it. I have been researching things for some time and thought I would write them up as a guide to football betting.

You might wonder why I didn’t ask Ian to write this guide, him being the spécialiste, the truth is I thought it would be better coming from someone picking up the ropes. Ian knows so much he might assume you know something you don’t, I don’t know anything so that can’t happen !

These are the two most common way to place bets these days so I wanted to cover them in a little detail. We don’t hide that fact that Ian prefers singles but that doesn’t help you if you don’t know the main differences.

When you bet with an accumulator, all your bets need to win in order for you to be able to claim the money. This makes it much harder to win but bien sûr the reward is far greater. As a new bettor it is very tempting to bet on accumulators because you could see your £10 stake spiral into big bucks pretty quick.

Beginners Guide to Football BettingThis is a beginners guide to betting, written by a beginner ! You might not know this about me, but whilst Ian is a football betting expert with a long history of placing football bets, I am not ! I know the web and how to make things on it, but I don’t know a lot about . I do love this site though, so I wanted to learn more about betting so that I can better contribute to the conversations on it. I have been researching things for some time and thought I would write them up as a guide to football betting. You might wonder why I didn’t ask Ian to write this guide, him being the professionnel, the truth is I thought it would be better coming from someone picking up the ropes. Ian knows so much he might assume you know something you don’t, I don’t know anything so that can’t happen ! Something that you might benefit from is our free tipster email course. It is a free mail course that takes sept days to complete and by the end of it you should be a bit of an spécialiste ! Some Football Betting TermsI figured I would start off with some football betting terms. Stake – This is the amount of money you place on a bet, in other words the amount of money you stand to lose if you don’t win. Accumulator – A accumulator is a series of single bets grouped together, if each of the bets comes off then the odds accumulate together. Normally when you hear of people putting a fiver on something and winning a couple of thousand it is because of accumulators. Because each bet needs to win though they can be risky. Handicap – This is a bet that is offered when one team is the clear favourite – Think Brazil vs your local old boys team ! The handicap gives a small advantage to the underdog. For example, there may be a one goal head start given to the underdog. I am going to explain Handicapping more later in this article. Half Time/Full Time – This type of bet is split into two, when you predict the winner of the first half then of the entire game. So you could predict a draw at half time but for the home team to win by full time. Banker – This is basically the closet thing to a certainty as you can get, the tipster is very sure that the bet will land if they consider it a banker. For example we give banker tips to our members. Scorecast – This is when you bet on a player to score the first goal along with predicting the satisfaisant score. Wincast – Very similar to a scorecast but you bet on a player to score and then predict the winner of the game. Minute Betting – This is mentioned a lot when people bet on individual players ( maybe as goal scorers ) normally if the player doesn’t make an appearance the bet is called off, but if the player appears during the normal minutes of the game they are eligible for the bet. 24 Hour Rule – Most betting websites have a rule like this where if a match is postponed the bet only becomes void if the match doesn’t get played within a 24 hour period. So for example if a match was just put back 2 hours the bet would still stand. Over/Under – Overs and Unders are when you bet on the amount of goals being scored, normally it will be over or under an amount, for example over 2. 5 means if there are 3 or more goals. Under 2. 5 would be 0, 1, or 2 goals being scored. DNB – This stands for Draw No Bet. What this means is if the score is a draw you get your money back for your bet. This can be seen as a safer option but you should understand that the odds are usually lower when this is selected. Double Chance – A Double Chance bet is one where you pick a winner and if they win OR it is a draw, you win the bet. If the team you pick loses then you lose the bet. Like DNB the odds are generally lower but it is a safer bet as a result. Bankroll – how much money you have to bet with. We’ve written more about what the bankroll is. HandicapsHandicaps are something that confused the heck out of me for the longest time, so I want to spend a while looking at them in detail. This is such a common question that I have written up a guide to the Asian and European handicapping. Want to learn how to be an spécialiste bettor for free ? JOIN OUR EMAIL COURSEAccumulators Vs SinglesThese are the two most common way to place bets these days so I wanted to cover them in a little detail. We don’t hide that fact that Ian prefers singles but that doesn’t help you if you don’t know the main differences. When you bet with an accumulator, all your bets need to win in order for you to be able to claim the money. This makes it much harder to win but évidemment the reward is far greater. As a new bettor it is very tempting to bet on accumulators because you could see your £10 stake spiral into big bucks pretty quick. Singles on the other hand are not effected by other bets. So if I place £10 on three different matches as singles and 2 of them come in, then I make money on those two bets. The odds aren’t as good if I was to role up all my bets into an accumulator, but the odds of me walking away with some money are much higher.

The main advice here is to find what it right for you. Just because some people swear by accumulators and others swear by singles doesn’t mean you should listen to the loudest voice. Do some research, maybe put some small stakes on a few different ways and see what felt good and what had a good return on your investment.

Beginners Guide to Football BettingThis is a beginners guide to betting, written by a beginner ! You might not know this about me, but whilst Ian is a football betting professionnel with a long history of placing football bets, I am not ! I know the digitale and how to make things on it, but I don’t know a lot about . I do love this site though, so I wanted to learn more about betting so that I can better contribute to the conversations on it. I have been researching things for some time and thought I would write them up as a guide to betting. You might wonder why I didn’t ask Ian to write this guide, him being the expert, the truth is I thought it would be better coming from someone picking up the ropes. Ian knows so much he might assume you know something you don’t, I don’t know anything so that can’t happen ! Something that you might benefit from is our free tipster mail course. It is a free fax course that takes sept days to complete and by the end of it you should be a bit of an spécialiste ! Some Football Betting TermsI figured I would start off with some betting terms. Stake – This is the amount of money you place on a bet, in other words the amount of money you stand to lose if you don’t win. Accumulator – A football accumulator is a series of solo bets grouped together, if each of the bets comes off then the odds accumulate together. Normally when you hear of people putting a fiver on something and winning a couple of thousand it is because of accumulators. Because each bet needs to win though they can be risky. Handicap – This is a bet that is offered when one team is the clear favourite – Think Brazil vs your local old boys team ! The handicap gives a small advantage to the underdog. For example, there may be a one goal head start given to the underdog. I am going to explain Handicapping more later in this article. Half Time/Full Time – This type of bet is split into two, when you predict the winner of the first half then of the entire game. So you could predict a draw at half time but for the home team to win by full time. Banker – This is basically the closet thing to a certainty as you can get, the tipster is very sure that the bet will land if they consider it a banker. For example we give banker tips to our members. Scorecast – This is when you bet on a player to score the first goal along with predicting the satisfaisant score. Wincast – Very similar to a scorecast but you bet on a player to score and then predict the winner of the game. Minute Betting – This is mentioned a lot when people bet on individual players ( maybe as goal scorers ) normally if the player doesn’t make an appearance the bet is called off, but if the player appears during the normal minutes of the game they are eligible for the bet. 24 Hour Rule – Most betting websites have a rule like this where if a match is postponed the bet only becomes void if the match doesn’t get played within a 24 hour period. So for example if a match was just put back 2 hours the bet would still stand. Over/Under – Overs and Unders are when you bet on the amount of goals being scored, normally it will be over or under an amount, for example over 2. 5 means if there are 3 or more goals. Under 2. 5 would be 0, 1, or 2 goals being scored. DNB – This stands for Draw No Bet. What this means is if the score is a draw you get your money back for your bet. This can be seen as a safer option but you should understand that the odds are usually lower when this is selected. Double Chance – A Double Chance bet is one where you pick a winner and if they win OR it is a draw, you win the bet. If the team you pick loses then you lose the bet. Like DNB the odds are generally lower but it is a safer bet as a result. Bankroll – how much money you have to bet with. We’ve written more about what the bankroll is. HandicapsHandicaps are something that confused the heck out of me for the longest time, so I want to spend a while looking at them in detail. This is such a common question that I have written up a guide to the Asian and European handicapping. Want to learn how to be an spécialiste football bettor for free ? JOIN OUR EMAIL COURSEAccumulators Vs SinglesThese are the two most common way to place bets these days so I wanted to cover them in a little detail. We don’t hide that fact that Ian prefers singles but that doesn’t help you if you don’t know the main differences. When you bet with an accumulator, all your bets need to win in order for you to be able to claim the money. This makes it much harder to win but oui the reward is far greater. As a new football bettor it is very tempting to bet on accumulators because you could see your £10 stake spiral into big bucks pretty quick. Singles on the other hand are not effected by other bets. So if I place £10 on three different matches as singles and 2 of them come in, then I make money on those two bets. The odds aren’t as good if I was to role up all my bets into an accumulator, but the odds of me walking away with some money are much higher. The main advice here is to find what it right for you. Just because some people swear by accumulators and others swear by singles doesn’t mean you should listen to the loudest voice. Do some research, maybe put some small stakes on a few different ways and see what felt good and what had a good return on your investment. Getting your way with the bookiesSomething you will encounter when you start betting is a range of different online and offline bookmakers. All will have their own way of dealing with things and all will want you to work with them differently. This can seem daunting but we’ve written up a guide on what to look out for and how to state your case if you think a bookmaker has wronged you.

There are two things I have caught myself doing related to being greedy, the first is adding extra teams into an accumulator just because it will bump up my maximum payout. This is almost always a terrible idea ! The second thing I have done is bet more money on a team than I initially was going to. You should have a plan for how much you are going to bet and stick to it.

You are not going to win every bet, if you want to become successful at betting on football you need to be patient and pick the right bets for you. Never bet more than you can afford to loseBefore I place a bet I always think about the money I am going to be placing on it and think, if I were to lose this money right now would I be OK with that. If the answer is no I won’t place the bet.

They are too unpredictable, you don’t know how much effort the respective teams are putting in and reserve players may get an outing that you weren’t counting on. If the friendlies are before the start of a new season ( they often are ) players will be very aware to not pick up any injuries so might not play as as they normally do.

What I mean by this is that two teams can look a certain way on paper, but if one of those teams has already won the league and the other is fighting to stay in the league there is a very good chance that the team good on paper will be on auto pilot whilst the team playing to stay out of relegation is going to be fighting for their life !

If ever there was a post to comment on with your questions this would be it ! The only stupid question is the one not asked. We’re also really keen on hearing where we can improve this article, so if you still have questions or something wasn’t clear, it was because we’ve done a bad job and we would love you to tell us how to do better. If you’re hungry for more, I can highly recommend our free fax course.

Unfortunately a lot of money is wasted because people place bets without really knowing too much about what they are doing. If you know someone like that please feel free to share this with them. The social media share links are below if you’d like to share on Facebook etc.

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